Managing refunds exposure & merchant creditworthiness during COVID-19
August 17, 2020
COVID-19 continues to spread rapidly and the economic crisis escalates globally every day in the face of the pandemic. The humanitarian cost and stress on health systems and infrastructure induces fear and uncertainty, affecting lives and livelihoods on a daily basis. Lockdowns across the globe brought a massive economic shock to a majority of consumer experience businesses such as hospitality and travel, but sport and retail are also suffering more than 70% drops in sales. Companies that must manage physical interaction with consumers and those with production staff working in limited space have been unable to trade. At the same time, massive uplift in online and digital businesses (such as online conferencing) and most other virtual or online businesses have experienced their best months ever in terms of sales growth.
Facing the online growth and the “shift” in spending, coupled with sector difficulties for some, requires adopting solutions that demonstrate great agility in mitigating risks. Even in tough times, the goal we share with merchants and the payment companies who serve them is to enable higher conversion and profits. During COVID-19, businesses became especially vulnerable to sharp increases in credit risk. Their rapidly declining sales and sky-rocketing refunds levels were clearly visible in the data collected for the purposes of Fraud Prevention, but also paint a business impact picture.
One area of great significance is the threat of illiquidity among partners and cashflow crises that damage or destroy once stable businesses. Cybertonica is building a new feature for Acquirers that predicts cash flow impacts and liquidity problems Merchants may face so that the payments operator can react appropriately, maybe vary conditions or seek to terminate a relationship if there is a risk of bankruptcy or fraud.Immediate factors impacting the liquidity risk and creditworthiness of merchants:
- Sharp rise in refunds due to Covid-19
- Sales volume decrease due to lockdown
- Balancing incoming cash flow through sales with outgoing cash flow done through refunds
- Monitor risk limits and automate alert generation, reporting and analysis
- Quickly identify riskier segments where you may be able to safely tailor your offering
- Cut potential fraud in credit applications, onboarding verifications and KYC monitoring
- Manage PSD2-related PISP limits and reporting across all channels
- Automatically expose bad actors in real-time and avoid Mastercard and Visa high-risk penalties
